Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.001188 0.001340 0.001492 0.001655 0.001825 0.001996 0.002180
2025-10-26 0.000932 0.001150 0.001375 0.001622 0.001886 0.002156 0.002454
2025-11-02 0.000732 0.000995 0.001277 0.001594 0.001939 0.002299 0.002699
2025-11-09 0.000576 0.000872 0.001200 0.001579 0.001998 0.002441 0.002940
2025-11-16 0.000453 0.000773 0.001141 0.001575 0.002063 0.002584 0.003177
2025-11-23 0.000352 0.000689 0.001090 0.001574 0.002126 0.002722 0.003405
2025-11-30 0.000298 0.000656 0.001094 0.001633 0.002253 0.002927 0.003703
2025-12-07 0.000223 0.000584 0.001047 0.001627 0.002303 0.003044 0.003902
2025-12-14 0.000149 0.000502 0.000979 0.001592 0.002316 0.003117 0.004050
2025-12-21 0.000112 0.000467 0.000968 0.001623 0.002403 0.003271 0.004286
2025-12-28 0.000063 0.000400 0.000910 0.001592 0.002416 0.003339 0.004423
2026-01-04 0.000031 0.000349 0.000868 0.001579 0.002447 0.003426 0.004581
2026-01-11 0.000002 0.000280 0.000809 0.001559 0.002489 0.003547 0.004803
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000218 0.000752 0.001539 0.002531 0.003671 0.005031
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000162 0.000697 0.001519 0.002573 0.003793 0.005257
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000118 0.000652 0.001509 0.002625 0.003927 0.005497
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000084 0.000615 0.001508 0.002686 0.004070 0.005746
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000056 0.000583 0.001509 0.002749 0.004214 0.005994
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000047 0.000591 0.001569 0.002883 0.004442 0.006338
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000025 0.000557 0.001563 0.002934 0.004570 0.006566
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000006 0.000505 0.001529 0.002947 0.004650 0.006738
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000001 0.000498 0.001560 0.003042 0.004828 0.007021
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.000453 0.001530 0.003057 0.004908 0.007190